🎤 Macron: We have made no decision regarding a military presence in the Strait of Hormuz./Tasnim
🔻 Reports and developments over the past 24 hours indicate that the political and security atmosphere between the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States has entered a highly sensitive phase; a stage that can neither be called stable peace nor yet a full-scale war.
🔺 According to Reuters and sources close to the negotiations, behind-the-scenes talks mediated by Qatar and several regional countries are continuing in an effort to stabilize the ceasefire and prevent tensions from spreading to the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz.
🔺 Media outlets close to the Islamic Republic say Tehran has not yet accepted Washington’s final proposal, but a modified version of the agreement is under review.
🔻 At the same time, domestic criticism of the negotiating team has intensified, with some members of parliament warning about a “repeat of the JCPOA experience.”
🔺 Reports have also emerged about disagreements between the government and parts of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps regarding crisis management, the economy, and the level of flexibility toward the United States.
🔻 Part of the ruling establishment believes continuing the current situation will impose heavy economic costs on Iran and therefore supports a limited agreement to reduce tensions. In contrast, factions close to the IRGC believe any retreat would weaken the Islamic Republic’s regional position.
🔺 These disagreements are not only political but also concern wartime economic management, currency markets, market control, and the level of military tension.
🔻 In Washington, Tel Aviv, and Tehran, there is a growing assessment that the coming days will be decisive: either a temporary and fragile agreement will emerge, or the region will once again enter a cycle of military escalation. 🎤 CNN: U.S. intelligence assessments indicate that despite injuries, Iran’s Supreme Leader continues to direct the country’s strategies from behind the scenes.
🔺 According to a CIA report, Iran’s key decisions regarding war and negotiations with the United States are still being directly managed by Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei.
🔻 The report claims that the order to preserve 70% of Iran’s missile stockpiles and 75% of its launchers was issued directly by Iran’s leader to avoid a war of attrition.
🔺 It also states that regional military operations continue to require final approval from Iran’s leadership.
🔻 The CIA reportedly believes that contrary to Pentagon expectations, U.S. strikes did not collapse the IRGC command structure but instead increased operational motivation among mid-level military and IRGC forces. 🎤 Al Arabiya, citing Hebrew sources: Netanyahu will speak with Trump tonight.
🔴 Trump stated in a post that Iran has spent 47 years “playing” the United States and the world through delay tactics. He accused Barack Obama of strongly supporting Iran and said billions of dollars were handed to Tehran. Trump added that Iran can no longer manipulate the United States.
🐦 Narges Mohammadi has been transferred to Pars Hospital in Tehran.